Rise From the Middle: Theres a New Go-To Guy in Milwaukee

Khris Middleton went from being "The other guy" to "The Guy"  Image Courtesy: media.jrn.com

Khris Middleton went from being "The other guy" to "The Guy"  Image Courtesy: media.jrn.com

The Milwaukee Bucks are slipping. Entering the All-Star Break the hottest team in NBA on an 8-2 roll, the team has since struggled to go 3-7.  Prior to THE trade, the team was clicking on all cylinders, and if there’s one thing we learned, it’s that Brandon Knight was the leader of the Bucks.  Losing his 17ppg and 41% 3pt shooting has hurt the team, but not nearly as much as the loss of his leadership, intangibles, and crunch time shooting.  After going winless on a recent road trip that included three straight losses to sub-500 western conference cupcakes, the Bucks have clearly undergone an adjustment period. However, despite all the turmoil, the Milwaukee Bucks have begun to forge a new identity. 

The Bucks’ “Core” had grown to consist of Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jabari Parker, & Brandon Knight, and when Knight was traded to Phoenix, Michael Carter-Williams seemingly replaced Knight in that list of untouchables. Upon Knight’s departure, a lot of people saw it as Giannis’ time to take over; to make the team his own, and play with the superstar ability he showcases on a nightly basis. While the Greek Freak has put up his share of highlights since the All-Star Break, he hasn’t exactly broken out, averaging 13.5/7.0/2.3 post All-Star Break. These numbers are slightly higher than his pre-break stat line of 12.0/6.6/2.5, so while the numbers are up, Giannis’ superstar emergence is not yet upon us.

Knight's replacement, Michael Carter-Williams, has been serviceable in his time so far with the Bucks, compiling averages of 13.6/6.1/2.6.  In exiting the toxic environment of Philadelphia for a playoff-bound team, it should have been expected for his numbers to decline, and such has been the case.  So far MCW has been nowhere near the leader of Knight’s caliber, but that should improve with time, as he is being asked to step in and lead a new, playoff-bound team without yet understanding how to win. In the midst of getting acclimated to his new teammates and surroundings, MCW is getting better by the day. In fact, since joining Milwaukee, Carter-Williams has already shown vast improvement with his shot, shooting .473/.857 from the field and the free-throw line, as opposed to .380/.643 in Philadelphia. This is glorious news for Bucks fans, as a jump shot is the last piece of the puzzle in MCW unlocking his star potential.

Often Viewed as a  Role player, Middleton has averaged 17.9/5.5/3.0 Since Brandon Knight's Departure. Image Courtesy: blog.fanjam.com

Often Viewed as a  Role player, Middleton has averaged 17.9/5.5/3.0 Since Brandon Knight's Departure. Image Courtesy: blog.fanjam.com

Unfortunately, neither Giannis or Carter-Williams has stepped up to become “the guy”. And while the Bucks don’t need “a guy” in the caliber of LeBron James or Steph Curry, they need “a guy” who can knock down the open shot in crunch time and help fill the intangible void left by Brandon Knight’s departure. Ten games after the trade, and Khris Middleton has become “the guy” Milwaukee has desperately needed.  While his playing time since the trade has modestly increased from 27.1 to 34.9 minutes per game, Middleton is attempting five additional shots per contest and has seen his numbers explode from 11.4/4.4/1.8 to 17.9/5.5/3.0.  A deadly marksman, Middleton ranks 5th in the NBA in 3pt% at .426. On defense, he possesses the athleticism, length, and IQ to effectively defend NBA wings, giving him a Real Plus-Minus of 6.27, good for 7th in the NBA, ahead of acknowledged stars Kawhi Leonard, DeMarcus Cousins, and Damian Lillard. The young shooting guard’s effectiveness has not been lost on Jason Kidd, who acknowledged after the recent victory over the Wizards that Middleton is, “not a secret anymore in this league”.  A restricted free agent at season’s end, the Bucks would be wise to invest in a long-term contract for Middleton, or else another team will.

Although the Brandon Knight trade sent shockwaves through a formidable Bucks squad, they seem to have found their footing amidst the breakout of Khris Middleton.  With Jabari out for the year, Giannis enduring frequent growing pains, and Carter-Williams still finding his place, Middleton’s stabilizing prescience has proved invaluable, and will be heavily relied on should be Bucks wish to make any noise in the playoffs. Then, if everything works out right, Middleton will find himself paid according to his true place – an essential part of Milwaukee’s core.  

Follow KJ Eichstaedt on Twitter - @kjeichstaedt


SHOCKER: Knight to Phoenix, Welcome Michael Carter-Williams

MiChael Carter-WIlliams Throws it Down against the Miami Heat. Image Courtesy: HuffingtonPost.com

MiChael Carter-WIlliams Throws it Down against the Miami Heat. Image Courtesy: HuffingtonPost.com

BUCKS GM JOHN HAMMOND SHOCKED THE NBA BY TRADING AWAY BRANDON KNIGHT IN THE MIDST OF A PLAYOFF RACE. 

Everywhere, Bucks fans are devastated. Bucks fans are ecstatic. As the 2015 NBA trade deadline passes and the dust settles, one thing is certain: John Hammond reins supreme.  Earlier today, the Milwaukee Bucks participated in the shocker of the deadline, trading away surefire franchise building block, Brandon Knight, in exchange for Michael Carter-Williams, Tyler Ennis, and Miles Plumlee as part of a three-team deal also involving Phoenix and Philadelphia.

Bucks fans will miss Brandon Knight, the point guard who’s work ethic, leadership, and steady improvement during his time in Milwaukee helped make him a fan favorite.  Under Kidd, Knight was really coming into his own, running the team and shooting an astronomical 41% from 3, and 88% from the line.  With the NBA’s current love infatuation with the Splash Bros in Golden State, 3-point shooting is a more valuable, coveted, commodity than ever before. Combine lights out shooting with the fact that he is a young, two-way player providing offense and defense, and Brandon Knight was in line for a max deal in restricted free agency. By trading away Knight, Hammond is taking the stance that Giannis is a future max player, while Brandon Knight is not.  Hammond is making sure that Knight’s next, expensive, contract will not hinder the Bucks in any way when it comes to locking up the Greek Freak on his first max deal.

The centerpiece of the deal for the Bucks is the reigning Rookie of the Year, Michael Carter-Williams, who will serve as Knight’s replacement as the starting point guard.  At 6’6, MCW is a big, two-way PG with an enormous ceiling and very few athletic limitations.  Averaging 15.0/7.4/6.2 at the time of the trade, MCW accumulates more rebounds and assists than Knight. However, he is in need of a shot doctor.  A horrendous shooter to put it lightly, MCW’s 25% from 3-point land is the 2nd worst in the NBA among players qualified.  While the 68% from the free throw line isn’t ideal, there is room for improvement, and it should be expected that MCW will improve tremendously under the tutelage of Jason Kidd, like Brandon Knight before him.

The Bucks addressed squad depth on the eve of the franchise’s first playoff birth in several seasons. PG Tyler Ennis out of Syracuse was a first round pick in the 2014 draft, and should fit right in as the third-string PG.  A savvy player with the ability to run a team, Ennis will find his role and gain valuable knowledge under Coach Kidd. PF Miles Plumlee stands at 6’11 and is essentially Larry Sanders’ replacement:  an athletic big man who can run the floor and be active around the rim on both sides of the ball.

Before attempting to crucify Hammond, it should be noted that in the last 18 months, the genie of a GM has turned the troubled Brandon Jennings into Michael Carter-Williams, Khris Middleton, Tyler Ennis, and Miles Plumlee. But that’s not even where the real value lies.  While the MCW is not yet playing at the level of Brandon Knight, the Bucks make up for it by increasing their financial power. Consider this: Brandon knight was likely to sign a deal in the 4 year/$70 million range this offseason. MCW, by contrast, will make $2.3 million this season, with team options for the next two years of slight increases in salary.  By swapping Knight with MCW, the Bucks will save around $10 million in cap space.  Take Larry Sanders impending buyout into consideration and remove his salary from the books, and the Bucks suddenly have around $20 million in extra cap room, without sacrificing squad depth.  If the Bucks were to hang onto Knight and pay him this offseason, the team’s core would have been set.  Instead, by making this trade, Hammond is leaving room to add to the already tremendous core of Giannis and Jabari via free agency. Cap room is a precious commodity, and the Bucks could be serious players in restricted free agency this summer. Imagine adding a Jimmy Butler or Kawhi Leonard to a rising Bucks team in the eastern conference. Even if the Bucks don’t splurge on a free agent, Hammond has done well by making sure there are no bad contracts on the books, leaving himself the flexibility to provide Giannis and Jabari with future max contracts.

Hammond has taken a bold risk on deadline day, potentially jeopardizing strong team camaraderie by dealing away a team leader and leading scorer. However, on paper, the GM appears to have pulled another rabbit out of the hat, and has the Bucks set to enter the era of Giannis & Jabari flush with team talent and flexibility. Hammond recently said, "Look, the big picture for us is becoming a championship-caliber organization”.  One week later, Buck’s fans are already seeing the fruits of his vision. 

Follow KJ Eichstaedt on Twitter - @kjeichstaedt


Linsanity 2.0

IKE writer Sam Mathison explains why "Linsanity" could be headed to the west coast. Photo Courtesy: Eric Molina 

IKE writer Sam Mathison explains why "Linsanity" could be headed to the west coast. Photo Courtesy: Eric Molina 

A three week stretch of dominance during the 2012 NBA season gave birth to the phase, “Linsanity”. With the weight of New York on his shoulders, Jeremy Lin not only thrived in his first opportunity, but stole the hearts of fans worldwide. He sent shockwaves through the league by putting up 38 points against Kobe and the Lakers, hitting a cold blooded game winning three in Toronto, and breaking John Wall’s ankles to throw down a posterizing slam. The point guard was taking the league by storm putting up 25 point and 10 assist performances daily. Most importantly, he was winning games for New York. When Carmelo returned from injury, the buzz from Linsanity cooled off. Since then, the Jeremy Lin buzz has further died down, and after two roller coaster seasons with the Houston Rockets, he has been written off and gifted to the Los Angeles Lakers for practically nothing.  

You might ask, what happened to the Jeremy Lin that was putting up all star numbers and single handedly leading his team to victory? The truth is, Lin was unable to showcase his true ability and thrive in Houston playing alongside one of the most ball dominant players in the league, James Harden. Factor in NBA superstar Dwight Howard and an up and coming Chandler Parsons to the mix, resulting in the perfect recipe for Jeremy Lin to be forgotten and unappreciated. He was treated like a role player in Houston instead of the dangerous playmaker he is. The Jeremy Lin who blindsided the NBA in 2012 never left, he was simply put in a situation to fail in Houston. The Lakers see the 25 year old’s potential, and it’s only a matter of time before the rest of the league catches on.

The Los Angeles Lakers have zero expectations this year - If they miraculously overachieve enough to make the playoffs as an 8 seed, it would be considered a miracle. With an aging Kobe coming off a torn achilles and no decent backup point guard to speak of, look for Jeremy Lin to have a break out All-Star season. The Laker’s need scoring, and that exactly what Jeremy can provide. Let’s face it, Kobe’s body can’t handle an 82 game season anymore and he’ll have no choice but to become more of a distributor. Look for Jeremy Lin to become the de-facto centerpiece in LA.

Looking back to last season, Nick “Swaggy P” Young was the team’s “best” player.  The man is dating Iggy Azelea and just signed a new contract. He will surely fall off, furthering the need for Jeremy to step up and take over. Lin struggles when he has to play with selfish players like Carmelo and J.R. Smith on the Knicks, or Harden and Dwight on the Rockets, but now he’s the main option just like how it was during the Linsanity span in 2012. Kobe has acquired five rings and knows how to coexist with other players, unlike Harden and Carmelo, who have zero playoff success as the main guys. Jeremy is finally in a suitable environment to take over the league, and the Los Angeles media will keep NBA-nation informed of his successes. He’s a smart player who knows how to get to the hoop and possesses a much improved jumper compared to a few years ago. Add in the chip on his shoulder from people considering him a “novelty player” and you’ve got a deadly combination. An optimistic, yet obtainable expectation for Lin this year is to average 17 points a game with 5 or more assists and a few double doubles. He’s the type of player that elevates the play of his teammates - the exact opposite of Melo and Harden. If the Lakers have any hope of making the payoffs in the brutal western conference, it rests on the shoulders of X-factor, Jeremy Lin. The combination of him and Kobe could come out of the shadows to catch the league by surprise.  Lin has already proven that he can dominate games for a large market team, and with a time and place for everything - watch out for Linsanity 2.0, the 2015 edition.   

Follow Sam Mathison on Twitter - @sam_mathison


Western Conference Power Rankings

Image Courtesy: jonathanhoodshow.com

Image Courtesy: jonathanhoodshow.com

WESTERN CONFERENCE POWER RANKINGS – NBA

The Playoffs are behind us, the draft is behind us, and now free agency is largely behind us. With Dan Hively covering the East, here are my post-decision power rankings for the Western Conference.

1.     San Antonio Spurs

Who else could possibly be at the top of the list? San Antonio bulldozed through the western conference before making easy work of the Miami Heat en route to another NBA title. Playoff studs Patty Mills and Boris Diaw are back under contract and will join the new Big 4 of Duncan, Parker, Ginobli, and Leonard.  Factor in first round pick Kyle Anderson and Popovich’s world class coaching staff, it’s hard to imagine anybody else representing the West in the 2015 NBA Finals.

2.     Oklahoma City Thunder

An incredibly tough call to make, the Thunder occupy the number two spot largely because Kevin Durant HAS to take that next step this season.  With the world in love with LeBron again, all the pressure is now on KD to justify his boatload of regular season worship. Is the year he makes the sacrifices necessary to translate gaudy stats into big wins?  The Thunder are incredibly deep with capable backups at every position.  Nearly everyone on the roster is a 2-way player, so their ability to guard the elite athletes will go a long way.  This team is so incredibly talented, the real question isn’t IF this team can win a championship, it’s WHEN.  Unfortunate for them, they might just have to bide their time until the Spurs retire. 

3.     Los Angeles Clippers

The Clippers have been just as underwhelming as the Thunder when it comes to the Playoffs.  CP3 is the best pure point guard in the league and Blake Griffin has ascended to the level of Franchise Player.  The team has its defensive presence in Jordan and more than enough shooters to pad CP3’s assist numbers.  A case could be made that the Clippers would be the best team in the New East, but they haven’t won anything.  Hall of Fame coach Doc Rivers has high expectations, but Paul and Griffin have never even made it past the second round.  While the Thunder have made it to an NBA Finals, the Clips need to do something in this year’s playoffs to avoid the label of another overhyped, big market team that can’t win when it counts.

4.     Dallas Mavericks

Let’s take a moment to applaud Dirk Nowitski – the man signed a 3 year $24million dollar deal, turning down max offers from the Lakers and Rockets.  Why? Because he wants to win.  The Mavs will surprise this year, with intangibles matched only by the Spurs.  This is a savvy team that is extremely well coached, with players very in tune with their roles.  Dirk’s selflessness allowed Cuban to bring in the Chandlers, two complimentary players who make everyone on the team better.  Cuban, Dirk, and Carilisle want nothing else but to win, and that philosophy trickles down on the rest of the team.  Add in an elite rim protector and Parson’s ability to play a larger role while learning under Dirk, and this team will sneak into home court advantage for the first round.

5.     Portland Trailblazers

This team has enough talent to be in the top 4.  Portland gets the edge over Houston here because they have two franchise players that compliment each other.  Lillard has willed his way from Weber State to now being mentioned among the most prominent PGs in the game and even the Knicks “missing piece” in FA down the line.  LaMarcus Aldridge has committed to the city of Portland, and the Blazers have rewarded him by steadily adding depth and pieces around him.  This team showed the league they belong in 2014, and should firmly announce their arrival this season as a perennial contender in the west.    

6.     Houston Rockets

The Rockets slip a bit, missing out on the max free agents of the summer while choosing not to add any immediate help through the draft.  While Harden and Howard are franchise players, the loss of do-it-all forward Chandler Parsons will come back to haunt them as Harden and Howard are ball-dominant players, and Parsons could affect the game without using up a lot of possessions. Not only that, but the Rockets (most notably their stars) don’t appear to have the mentality yet to take the next step, as the Portland Trailblazers demonstrated last season.  Expect the playoffs, but not much more.

7.     Golden State Warriors

Everybody knows the Warriors can shoot it, but is Curry really a centerpiece of a contending team? Or is he just Michael Redd with a better supporting cast and the California media? Klay and Steph sure can light it up, but even elite guards don’t win NBA championships anymore (Just ask CP3).  The Warriors have a lot of nice pieces on paper, but until they venture away from being the NBA’s chucker darlings, this team will have a hard time advancing past the first or second round.  A trade for Minnesota’s Kevin Love would probably bump them into the top 4.

8.    Memphis Grizzlies

It’s hard to envision the Grizzlies missing out on the playoffs. They have two things going for them that will surely net them the 8th seed: Big men and Defense.  While it’s been frustrating not to see the Grizzlies progress, Marc, Z-Bo, Conley and Tony Allen all know what’s required of them to be playing postseason basketball.  The Grizzlies will have a hard time moving up on this list, but that’s more a testament to how strong the West is.

9.     Minnesota Timberwolves

Contingent on the wolves keeping Kevin Love, of course.  If he goes, then the Wolves probably fall down to the last couple spots on this list.  Minnesota is a cursed place where basketball players go to get worse.  New president and coach Flip Saunders added high upside guard Zach Lavine in the draft, but he doesn’t project to help them much this year.  The T-wolves look to be in asset-collecting mode, and are perhaps waiting for the right Kevin Love deal to present itself.  As it stands, Rubio, Love, and Pekovic aren’t enough to get this team into the postseason. 

10.   Phoenix Suns

Phoenix will take a step back this year, partially because Bledsoe and Dragic played out of their minds last season, and partially because Phoenix seems to think that stockpiling as many PGs as you can is a good way to advance the team (Didn’t they learn from the T-wolves failed Flynn and Rubio experiment?). With the additions of Isaiah Thomas and Tyler Ennis, Phoenix now has 4 guards who deserve to handle the ball.  The only problem is, Ennis is unathletic by NBA standards and Thomas would be considered small on most high school teams.  With almost no post presence to speak of, it’s hard to imagine this team among the top 8. 

11.   New Orleans Pelicans

Anthony Davis is a superstar, plain and simple.  But the rest of the team? Yikes.  Tyreke Evans and Jrue Holiday are more cap albatrosses than they are efficient players, and Omar Asik won’t help the team score.  Austin Rivers has failed to progress, and the team hasn’t gotten any draft help due to the trade with Philly.  This looks to be a team much like Dwight Howard in his days with the Magic: A superstar on a mediocre team bogged down in the salary cap with overpaid “complimentary” players that haven’t lived up to expectations. I expect the Pelicans to miss the playoffs this season, resulting in questions about Anthony Davis’ long term fit start to surface.

12.   Denver Nuggets

The Denver Nuggets have taken a step back since the losses of George Karl and stud-GM Masai Ujiri.  The team has sorely lacked the go-to player since the exit of Carmelo Anthony, and appear to have a plethora of players who profile above-average-at-best.  What they do have is a dynamic young PG in Ty Lawson, but that won’t get you a championship in today’s PG-driven league, just ask the Suns or Clippers.

13.  Utah Jazz

The Jazz can’t seem to go from rebuilding to competitive.  They’re so hidden away from the rest of the NBA in Salt Lake City, maybe they don’t want to.  For years, fans have watched the front office lose great players such as Carlos Boozer, Deron Williams, Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap in favor of younger pieces, and for years fans have waited for Favors, Hayward, Kanter, and others to progress to the level of competitive in today’s NBA.  The Jazz are the definition of mediocrity, and while they have a bounty of young talent (Don’t sleep on Exum and Burke), they don’t seem to be collectively playing to their abilities. Maybe it’s time to hire a head coach who can bring out the best in these players, and finally translate talent to wins.

14.   Sacramento Kings

The Sacramento Kings, much like the Utah Jazz, should seriously consider relocating to Seattle for no reason other than to add motivation and urgency.  The Kings have been so bad for so long: The front office has done a poor job with all the high picks over the years, they’ve mismanaged the salary cap as well as any team, and consistently import players with character issues to an already uneasy locker room.  All of this while burning through the prime of the games most skilled center, and failing to surround him with any effective complimentary pieces.  DeMarcus Cousins is a franchise player, and recent picks McLemore and Stauskus offer hope, but look for the Kings to have another long season.  

15.   Los Angeles Lakers

Ladies and gentlemen, last and least, your Los Angeles Lakers.  I’m not sure what’s worse…the team or the front office.  The Lakers swung and missed on the prominent free agents of the summer, and go into next season with Grandpa Kobe, Julius Randle, Jeremy Lin, and sunshine lovin players Jordan Hill and Nick Young.  To make matters worse, Kobe is on a max deal, financially constraining the Lakers ability to become better quicker.  Phil Jackson is long gone, and with no more Pau Gasol to blame things on, Laker fans are in for a long and brutal season.

Follow KJ Eichstaedt on twitter - @kjeichstaedt


Post-Decision NBA Power Rankings: Eastern Conference

Image courtesy: nba4her.sportsblog.com

Image courtesy: nba4her.sportsblog.com

IKE writer Dan Hively surveys the Eastern Conference landscape in wake of NBA Free Agency.

1.     Cleveland Cavaliers

Have you bought into the hype yet? Can a team that finished tenth in the poorly contested Eastern Conference actually win the East? Can a coach that has ZERO NBA experience lead a team to a conference title? Any team becomes an instant threat when the King decides to join.  LeBron will get the Cavs to buy into the carefully crafted system that Coach Blatt brings to the table. The guy has a sparkling reputation in Europe of Popovich 2.0 - He preaches team basketball that and attacking defense. If the 2014 finals were any indication, team basketball wins championships.

2.     Washington Wizards

Arguably the most athletic backcourt in the East, the only thing that kept them from beating the Pacers in the second round was experience and a fishing trip. Every year John Wall becomes more and more of the threat.  The combination of Wall and Beal in the backcourt with Nene and Gortat under the rim is only a couple of years away from becoming a monstrous foursome in the East. Paul Pierce will bring wisdom and championship experience. If the Wiz manage to add another lights out shooter, move the needle for this team from “noisemaker” to “contender”.

3.     Chicago Bulls

More than a few analysts are writing these guys as the team to beat this year. I’m not buying it – yet.  Derrick Rose has forgotten what it is like to play an entire NBA season, and there’s no guarantee that the man can even get through one. Too many questions are still out there for how the Bulls are going to score points. The additions of Gasol, Mirotic, and McDermott take some of the load off Rose, but will it be enough? Nonetheless, with Thibodeau at the helm, expect Chicago to be competitive in every game.

4.     Miami Heat

LeBron is gone – so what?  King James’ homecoming might be the best thing to happen to Dwayne Wade’s career. He gets his team back with the chance to come back with vengeance. LeBron leaving south beach is a silent gesture that he no longer believes Wade can get it done. Now that they’ve overpaid Bosh, Pat Riley has even less room to figure out how to fill the roster. The Heat will enter this season trying to prove they can get it done – with or without royalty.

5.     Toronto Raptors

Toronto is quickly growing the fan base. Lowry is fun to watch and is getting to the point of his career where he’s understanding what it takes to get the job done.  After a disappointing showing against the Nets in the first round, the Raptors are looking to answer the questions that were left. Will DeRozan continue to expand his game? Will Jonas Valanciunas progress to become a dominant force in the paint? Is Bruno Caboclo really the Brazillian Kevin Durant??? Masai Ujiri has a plan. Consider this team a sleeper.

6.     Charlotte Hornets

This team will be a threat. They are accumulating talent, especially after the Stephenson signing.  Can Stephenson go from being the number 2 guy to being THE guy? Kemba Walker has the skills to take the “Hornets” to the playoffs, but lacks experience. The Hornets drafted PF Noah Vonleh with hopes that he can be the quality big man MJ wants next to Al Jefferson, but that remains to be seen. Fans can expect the new Hornets to contend for a playoff spot.

7.     Brooklyn Nets

The loss of Paul Pierce hurts. The loss of Jason Kidd hurts even more.  This over–priced and overrated team enters the season trying to figure out its identity. Will this team finally belong to Deron Williams? Could it be Joe Johnson?   On paper, the Nets have the potential to be one of the top four teams in the conference, but at the same time are so old and injury prone they could fall to the bottom four. Don’t count on much from the Brooklyn Nets.

8.     Milwaukee Bucks

The future starts now for Milwaukee. New owners, new coach and new talent. The basketball culture in southeast Wisconsin is changing. The team culture is also changing. Despite ending with the worst record last season, the Bucks were competitive in every game. They are starting to expect to win. The longest and lankiest team in the NBA, every position on the Bucks has the potential to have a breakout season this year. The return of Larry Sanders will improve the team’s D, and Jabari’s presence will be felt from day one. The Greek Freak will continue to grow (literally) and develop into a future NBA superstar. With so much upside on the roster, Bucks fans can hope for an 8 seed.

9.     Indiana Pacers

Frank Vogel's job just got a whole lot tougher. Losing Stephenson will hurt. Losing Paul George will kill - the Pacers playoff hopes, anyway. The Pacers will need to make a move somewhere to fill the holes left by George and Stephenson if they wish to compete for the postseason. Hibbert lacks consistency and George Hill doesn't have what it takes to lead the team at the point. Mental toughness will be key.

10. New York Knicks

Imagine Melo when he comes to terms that he signed with a team who will fall behind the Bucks and the Hornets.  He is a black hole for an offense and has a ways to go as a leader. Sure the man can score, but can he get it done in the playoffs? Can he even get in the playoffs? The absolute BEST case scenario for the Knicks is waiting for 0.1% chance in 2016 when Kevin Durant becomes a free agent and goes to play under his good buddy Derek Fisher. Sorry Knicks fans, it’s looking like you’re gonna be stuck on the treadmill of mediocrity a while longer.

11. Atlanta Hawks

I feel bad for putting a team that almost took it to the Pacers last season this low. The Hawks have talent but lack the central player that every team needs. Maybe Al Horford can stay healthy and become that guy. Message to Jeff Teague – Its time to step up!

12.  Detroit Pistons

With the roster this team puts out, one would expect some sort of half decent finish.  Drummond and Monroe offer a strong front court, but the problem lies in their atrocious PG situation. Brandon Jennings will have to prove to Stan Van Gundy that he deserves a starting role this year with the addition of DJ Augustine, a very poor man’s D-Rose.  They have some pieces, but Josh Smith’s toxic deal leaves the Pistons gridlocked. Tough road ahead for these guys.

13. Boston Celtics

The Celtics are in full rebuilding mode with GM Danny Ainge swinging deals collecting as many future picks as possible.  Extending Avery Bradley and drafting Marcus Smart signal that a Rondo trade is all but imminent, further plunging this team into the Tank Race. Sullinger and Olynk have likely reached their NBA peaks, and the roster lacks the upside of other rebuilding teams. The Celtics have a great front office, but to say the team is underwhelming is an understatement.

14.  Orlando Magic

Words to describe this team? RAW and ATHLETIC. Victor Oladipo is one of the most exciting young players right now and should improve every year due to his high motor.  The problem is that he essentially plays on a D-league team.  Lottery picks Aaron Gordon and Elfrid Payton are defense-first high flyers, and center Vucevic is a nice post presence. This team will develop into an 8th seed contender, just not this year. Or the next.

15. Philadelphia 76ers

Last and most certainly least, the Philadelphia Tankers. Sixers. Asset-Collectors. The team with the injured Big Man fetish.  They tanked and got the uber-talented Joel Embiid, but he’s barely 20 with more back problems than my father.  Outside of him they have a team full of young players who aren’t dedicated to the vision of the front office. It’s hard to imagine how fed up the citizens of Philly are, but radical GM Sam Hinkie has a plan his owners are on board with. On the bright side, Michael Carter-Williams is a fine young player, and who knows - maybe they’ll get lucky and land a high lottery pick. 

Follow Dan Hively on Twitter - @dmhives